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EGB/Gilts- busy start, Gilt underperforms

BONDS
  • A busy start for EGBs and Bund, with futures taking their cue from some of the German regional CPI misses versus last.
  • It's another 223 ticks range for the German 10yr, but are well off the sessions high (147.37), with the contract trading back at 145.62, from a 145.14 low print.
  • Some of the pullback has been attributed to the Spanish CPI big beat, coming at 10% vs median estimates of 8.7%, and likely some position squaring.
  • Peripherals are all tighter, Greece by 4.4bps so far today.
  • Gilts underperforms Bund, pushing the Gilt/Bund spread 2bp wider, but well within ranges.
  • Looking ahead, German National CPI, and out of the US sees third readings for GDP, so more focus on the US PCE.
  • Still plenty of speakers are left, with ECB Schnabel, Lagarde, BoE Bailey, Swati, Fed Powell, Mester and Bullard.
  • Sep Bund futures (RX) up 45 ticks at 145.63 (L: 145.14 / H: 147.37)
  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.3bps at 0.934%, 5-Yr is down 4.4bps at 1.389%, 10-Yr is down 2.3bps at 1.605%, and 30-Yr is down 2.3bps at 1.805%.
  • Sep Gilt futures (G) down 2 ticks at 112.13 (L: 111.85 / H: 112.66)
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.8bps at 2.088%, 5-Yr is down 1.3bps at 2.129%, 10-Yr is down 0.4bps at 2.461%, and 30-Yr is up 1.3bps at 2.725%.
  • Sep BTP futures (IK) up 93 ticks at 121.12 (L: 120.58 / H: 121.83)
  • Sep OAT futures (OA) up 36 ticks at 136.26 (L: 135.81 / H: 137.57)
  • Italian BTP spread down 5.8bps at 187.4bps
  • Spanish bond spread down 2.1bps at 107.6bps
  • Portuguese PGB spread down 2.5bps at 105.1bps
  • Greek bond spread down 4.9bps at 221.2bps

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