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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Bearish Movement Ahead Of CPI

BONDS

Bunds and Gilts weakened Thursday with modest bear steepening in the curves, as US data renewed concerns about price pressures going into Friday's inflation data.

  • Thursday's stronger-than-expected US Core PCE prices reading for Q1 provided a hawkish clue for Friday's March PCE figure, which comes on the same day as several Euro area countries (incl France and Germany) post flash April CPI.
  • After drifting in a slightly negative direction in morning trade, Bund and Gilt losses accelerated in the afternoon on the PCE data and as equities bounced from Wednesday's lows.
  • Central bank hike expectations pared an early drop to finish flat in the case of the ECB, though BoE terminal pricing ticked up a few basis points.
  • Data isn't the only risk Friday, with a closely-watched BoJ decision as well as potential month-end market dynamics.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 5.4bps at 2.826%, 5-Yr is up 6.2bps at 2.462%, 10-Yr is up 6.3bps at 2.46%, and 30-Yr is up 4.2bps at 2.534%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 6.8bps at 3.819%, 5-Yr is up 7.3bps at 3.665%, 10-Yr is up 6.5bps at 3.794%, and 30-Yr is up 7.1bps at 4.154%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 1.8bps at 189.3bps / Spanish up 0.1bps at 104.9bps

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