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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: BTPs Blow Out While UK Short End Underperforms

BONDS

BTPs underperformed the European space as a whole Tuesday, while Gilts weakened vs Bunds.

  • Widening BTP spreads (10Y yields rose the most since Jun 14, up 20+bp at session highs) couldn't be pinned to any particular catalyst but political risk ahead of September elections and thin trading volumes contributed.
  • The Gilt curve bear flattened with 2Y yields briefly hitting 2-month highs; some desks cited strong wage pressures in this morning's employment report potentially encouraging more BoE hikes.
  • Supply consisted of Bobl and Gilt, little reaction. The only remaining auction this week is France (Thurs).
  • UK July CPI takes centre stage Wednesday, with Eurozone GDP up later in the morning.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany:

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 4.7bps at 0.577%, 5-Yr is up 6.6bps at 0.744%, 10-Yr is up 7.1bps at 0.971%, and 30-Yr is up 7.5bps at 1.23%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 12.3bps at 2.155%, 5-Yr is up 11bps at 1.965%, 10-Yr is up 10.8bps at 2.125%, and 30-Yr is up 8bps at 2.515%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 8.8bps at 216.3bps / Greek up 7.6bps at 236.5bps

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