July 15, 2024 16:37 GMT
EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Constructive Start To ECB Week
BONDS
European government bonds strengthened across the board Monday.
- Core FI started on the front foot, faltering in late morning led by Bunds amid some confusion over news reports over increased funding in the 2024 German budget (which turned out not to be a new development).
- Overall though there was little in the way of European macro news flow/headlines to drive, with the general tone remaining positive following last Thursday's soft US inflation report.
- The UK curve bull steepened, with Germany's shifting in a similar direction but with outperformance in the 5Y segment.
- Periphery / semi-core EGB spreads tightened on the day despite weakness in equities, led by BTPs and OATS (-2bp on the day vs 10Y Bund).
- With a limited calendar of scheduled events Tuesday (including German ZEW), focus this week is on Wednesday's UK CPI release and Thursday's ECB decision.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.4bps at 2.799%, 5-Yr is down 3bps at 2.445%, 10-Yr is down 2.4bps at 2.472%, and 30-Yr is down 2.3bps at 2.66%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 2.1bps at 4.065%, 5-Yr is down 0.9bps at 3.939%, 10-Yr is down 0.8bps at 4.101%, and 30-Yr is down 0.9bps at 4.606%.
- Italian BTP spread down 2.2bps at 127.5bps / Spanish down 0.3bps at 76.1bps
Keep reading...Show less
212 words