January 14, 2025 17:45 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Pressure Continues
BONDS
Bunds underperformed Gilts Tuesday, ahead of inflation data Wednesday.
- After a constructive start, regional FI softened amid EGB supply, oil prices and equities moving off lows, and continued questions surrounding French and UK politics and fiscal policy.
- A softer-than-expected US producer price report saw yields briefly hit session lows before retracing higher over the course of the day.
- The German curve leaned bear steeper on the day, with the belly underperforming overall as yields hit fresh multi-month highs across the curve, while the UK curve was mixed.
- Periphery/semi-core spreads were flat/tighter, with OAT/Bund roughly steady through new French Prime Minister Bayrou's policy address.
- Focus early Wednesday is on UK December CPI (MNI's preview here), with consensus eyeing a downtick in Y/Y core and services inflation; later we hear from BoE's Taylor, while US CPI is the main global event later in the session.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 2.6bps at 2.319%, 5-Yr is up 6.6bps at 2.462%, 10-Yr is up 3.9bps at 2.652%, and 30-Yr is up 4.6bps at 2.856%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 0.4bps at 4.605%, 5-Yr is up 1.1bps at 4.613%, 10-Yr is up 0.4bps at 4.889%, and 30-Yr is up 1.1bps at 5.449%.
- Italian BTP spread down 2.2bps at 118.8bps / French OAT down 1.4bps at 83.1bps
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