Free Trial

EGBs-GILTS: UK Yields Sharply Higher On Week, But Bunds Steady

BONDS

Gilts continued to underperform Bunds Friday despite soft UK retail sales data.

  • After gapping stronger at the open, Gilt futures faded somewhat over the course of the session. Bunds continued higher for the most part, with some early morning strength after a Corriere report that the ECB would rebuke the Italian government for its windfall bank tax.
  • The UK curve leaned bull steeper, with Germany's bull flattening.
  • There were no major catalysts (final July Eurozone CPI was unrevised, no other data / speakers of note), with cross-market moves of greater note, particularly for European equities which hit multi-month lows.
  • Despite the risk-off move and the move lower in Bund yields, periphery EGB spreads largely held their ground.
  • Looking back on the week, price action reflected the market focus on mostly inflationary UK data (including CPI and wage growth): UK 2Y yields rose 17bp vs flat for Schatz; UK 10Y yields were up 15bp vs unch for Bund.
  • Next week starts off with a relatively quiet schedule, picking up on Wednesday with flash PMIs, with the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium starting on Thursday and German IFO on Friday.

Friday Cash Yield Levels:

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 5.9bps at 3.048%, 5-Yr is down 8.1bps at 2.623%, 10-Yr is down 9.4bps at 2.615%, and 30-Yr is down 7.8bps at 2.714%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 7.9bps at 5.197%, 5-Yr is down 6.6bps at 4.689%, 10-Yr is down 6.7bps at 4.679%, and 30-Yr is down 5.9bps at 4.873%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 0.3bps at 170.8bps / Spanish up 0.5bps at 105.6bps

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.