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Free AccessEGBs-GILTS: UK Yields Sharply Higher On Week, But Bunds Steady
Gilts continued to underperform Bunds Friday despite soft UK retail sales data.
- After gapping stronger at the open, Gilt futures faded somewhat over the course of the session. Bunds continued higher for the most part, with some early morning strength after a Corriere report that the ECB would rebuke the Italian government for its windfall bank tax.
- The UK curve leaned bull steeper, with Germany's bull flattening.
- There were no major catalysts (final July Eurozone CPI was unrevised, no other data / speakers of note), with cross-market moves of greater note, particularly for European equities which hit multi-month lows.
- Despite the risk-off move and the move lower in Bund yields, periphery EGB spreads largely held their ground.
- Looking back on the week, price action reflected the market focus on mostly inflationary UK data (including CPI and wage growth): UK 2Y yields rose 17bp vs flat for Schatz; UK 10Y yields were up 15bp vs unch for Bund.
- Next week starts off with a relatively quiet schedule, picking up on Wednesday with flash PMIs, with the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium starting on Thursday and German IFO on Friday.
Friday Cash Yield Levels:
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 5.9bps at 3.048%, 5-Yr is down 8.1bps at 2.623%, 10-Yr is down 9.4bps at 2.615%, and 30-Yr is down 7.8bps at 2.714%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 7.9bps at 5.197%, 5-Yr is down 6.6bps at 4.689%, 10-Yr is down 6.7bps at 4.679%, and 30-Yr is down 5.9bps at 4.873%.
- Italian BTP spread up 0.3bps at 170.8bps / Spanish up 0.5bps at 105.6bps
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Why MNI
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