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Enthusiasm around Sino-U.S. trade talks.......>

FOREX
FOREX: Enthusiasm around Sino-U.S. trade talks continued to cool after U.S. Pres
Trump told reporters Saturday that earlier reports re: tariff roll-back were
"incorrect" and China wants the deal more than he does. Meanwhile, violence in
Hong Kong gave another reason to shy away from riskier assets. NOK and AUD
underperformed their G10 peers. That being said, the kiwi pulled out of the
high-beta FX and landed atop the G10 pile amid pre-RBNZ positioning.
- A round of JPY purchases boosted the currency through the Tokyo fix, before it
extended gains on protracted trade war uncertainty. CHF also firmed up somewhat.
- Sterling showed some strength from the off, though in the absence of any fresh
headlines. There has been talk of participants squaring out short positions
entered after Moody's affirmed the UK's credit rating at Aa2, but changed its
outlook to negative from stable late doors on Friday.
- The U.S. observes a partial mkt closure today (cash Tsys closed, stocks open).
- The focus turns to UK GDP, trade balance & industrial output. Italy will also
report its industrial production, while Norway will publish CPI data. Meanwhile,
Fed's Rosengren, as well as ECB's Enria and Mersch will speak.

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