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EURHUF Extends Gains on NBH Governor Comments

HUF
EURHUF has extended its gains following Matolcys’ comments which potentially indicate that further rate cuts could be coming, given the expected reduction in inflation. The cross traded to as high as 387.72, falling shy of key resistance at 391.64, the Aug 21 high. Meanwhile, USDHUF reached its highest level since Sep 7. A break of that day’s high, at 365.66, would put the pair at its highest level since mid-March. Price action sees the forint underperforming all of its peers in the EMEA space today.
  • The NBH Governor told a conference that consumer price growth will probably drop to single-digit territory by November and slow further from there at the end of the year – comments which largely mirror that of various government officials. Regarding policy rate moves, he reiterated that Hungary’s interest-rate policy needs to be data-driven, cautious and gradual.
  • Meanwhile, he said that the government’s “maverick” economic policy, including loose spending and a regime of price caps, is making the economy one of the most vulnerable globally.
  • Finance minister Varga said that the government’s main priority is still inflation, adding that a stable and predictable exchange rate is needed.
  • Deputy Governor Virag is scheduled to speak at 1300BST/1400CET.

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