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Euribors the early movers with US CPI eyed later

STIR FUTURES
  • Euribor futures are seeing decent moves this morning following a Bloomberg ECB sources piece overnight that suggested more Governing Council members were losing faith in the ECB's staff forecasting abilities (particularly regarding the inflation forecasts) and were leaning towards hiking earlier even if the forecasts are not revised up more significantly. The Jun-23 contract is the biggest mover, down 4.0 ticks on the day, while other Reds/Green are down 2.0-3.5 ticks on the day.
  • The SONIA and Eurodollar curves are also seeing some downward pressure with SONIA futures down up to 2.0 ticks with the biggest moves in the Reds while Eurodollar futures are seeing bigger moves further out the curve (Greens down 1.5 ticks).
  • US CPI is likely to be the biggest global driver of STIR markets later today (due at 13:30GMT) while Bailey's speech will be closely watched by SONIA futures traders.

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