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US EURODLR FUTURES: Eurodollar Futures Weekly Update: Add Wed's impeachment
inquiry annc into Pres Trump to US/China trade and other sundry geopolitical
risks supporting safe havens this wk.
- Fed out of media blackout: StL Fed Bullard said Mon he would cut another 25bp,
citing trade war and willingness to "take out some insurance against" potential
slowdown. Conversely, StL Fe Williams said Fed "should conserve firepower," as
"reducing policy room may prompt risky QE in downturn." Current session, Philly
Fed Pres Harker said he didn't support last week's rate cut, siding w/Fed
Williams that there's no need to "rush to judgement" over current mkt issues.
- Front Dec'19/Red'20 spd collapsed earlier in the week as rates cut pricing by
year end deferred to 2020. MNI PINCH model, however, held largely steady vs.
week ago levels, appr 95% of a third hike at the late October FOMC while chances
of a fourth cut climbed from 30.2% to 32.4%. For the week: the lead EDZ9 futures
gained 0.035 to 98.035, while EDH0 through EDU0 gained 0.060-0.070; Reds
(EDZ0-EDU1), Greens (EDZ1-EDU2) and Blues (EDZ2-EDU3) were +0.060-0.065, while
Golds (EDZ3-EDU4) gained 0.055-0.040 on the week.