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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessEurodollar/Tsy Option Roundup, Fading the Selloff
- A quick overview of Tuesday's trade: Eurodollar options saw much better call buying, primarily in 1- and 3Y midcurves -- buying insurance or fading the sell-off in underlying as futures priced in more aggressive rate hikes after StL Fed Bullard opened dialog on chance of 75bp hike at May 4 FOMC late Monday.
- While calls drew better buying -- active accounts continued to maintain large downside put positions for varied rate hike scenarios.
- Weighing on short end and contributing to inverted prices in Eurodollar Reds (EDM3-EDH4) through Blues (EDM5-EDH6) as rising recession concerns and/or ability of Fed to engineer a soft landing continues. Adding to the weaker tone (higher rates) IMF joined World bank opinion from late Monday: knock-on effect of Russia invasion reducing global growth/increase inflation forecasts.
- Similarities and differences for Treasury derivatives - Treasury futures traded weaker all day while curves reversed steeper profiles after the early IMF global growth downgrade, extended flatter in late trade (2s10s -6.05 at 33.79 in late trade compares to +42.89 early high -- this in itself quite a feat after the pare traded inverted low of -9.561 just two weeks ago. Treasury option volumes slipped in the current session vs. Monday with put structures drawing better interest.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.