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EUROPEAN INFLATION: Slight Downgrade To Headline HICP Forecasts

EUROPEAN INFLATION

Analysts expect Eurozone headline HICP at 1.8% Y/Y, down from ~1.9% before Friday’s lower-than-expected French and Spanish prints. Core inflation expectations remain at 2.7%.

  • German (state-level data 0900BST/1000CET; national 1300BST) and Italian (1000BST) flash inflation data may prompt further revisions to region-wide forecasts ahead of tomorrow’s release.
  • See the table below for a breakdown of forecasts by analysts. We have included only forecasts that account for Friday’s data (i.e. forecast submitted to BBG on Sep 28, or analysts notes sent Friday evening/over the weekend.

 

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Analysts expect Eurozone headline HICP at 1.8% Y/Y, down from ~1.9% before Friday’s lower-than-expected French and Spanish prints. Core inflation expectations remain at 2.7%.

  • German (state-level data 0900BST/1000CET; national 1300BST) and Italian (1000BST) flash inflation data may prompt further revisions to region-wide forecasts ahead of tomorrow’s release.
  • See the table below for a breakdown of forecasts by analysts. We have included only forecasts that account for Friday’s data (i.e. forecast submitted to BBG on Sep 28, or analysts notes sent Friday evening/over the weekend.