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Free AccessExcess Liquidity Sees Biggest Drop In A Decade, But Remains Very High
The latest reading of ECB excess liquidity reflects the settlements of the early TLTRO repayment on Nov 23, with a 1-day drop of E248.4bln (see chart).
- That's the largest fall since 2011, but it has only a limited impact on the overall level which at E4.42trn has only returned to late August 2022 levels.
- There's still E1.8trn in TLTROs outstanding, with the next voluntary early repayment settlement date on Dec 21 and which is tentatively expected by analysts to bring excess liquidity down to about E4.0-4.1trn ahead of year-end.
- The next repayment amount will be known on Dec 9, and this will help shape the ECB's discussion around the balance sheet / QT outlook at the Dec 15 meeting.
Source: BBG, ECB, MNI
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.