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Extending Session Lows, 10YY at 2Y Highs, SPUs -2.0%

US TSY FUTURES
Tsy futures fall to new session lows last few minutes, yields surge: 10YY at 2 year highs of 1.8609%, 30YY 2.1864%.
  • Meanwhile, equities sell-off to mid-Dec levels, ESH2 -93.0 at 4561.75, -2.0%, financials leading the long list of laggers (Goldman Sachs off as much as 8%, largest drop since mid 2020 on 4Q earnings miss ($10.81 vs. $12.08 last year).
  • No apparent headline driver for latest move, exogenous risk factor of growing tension over Russian/Belarus troop build/Ukraine invasion fears.
  • Lack of bid in rates and willingness of market to get ahead of themselves in pricing rate hikes at the moment.
  • Technicals, TYH2 just above intra-day low of 127-11 (-27) at 127-12, next support at 127-07: 2.236 projection of Dec 20-29-31 price swing.
  • Trading desks reporting prop and fast$ buying lows in 5s and 10s, after better domestic and foreign real$ selling in 10s-30s ahead midday. Real$ selling bonds again recently.

Bloomberg/MNI

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