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Fed Rate Path In Week’s Tight Range

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes little changed with 31bp for Feb 1 (+0.5bp), cumulative 50.5bp to 4.84% Mar (unch), terminal 4.94% Jun (unch) and 4.45% Dec (-1bp).
  • The terminal holds circa 10bps lower than shortly before Friday’s payrolls/ISM services hit, awaiting tomorrow’s CPI.
  • No Fedspeak today. No spillover from ECB’s Holzmann or Villeroy earlier with Rehn and De Cos still to come.

FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures implied rates at specific meetingsSource: Bloomberg

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  • Fed Funds implied hikes little changed with 31bp for Feb 1 (+0.5bp), cumulative 50.5bp to 4.84% Mar (unch), terminal 4.94% Jun (unch) and 4.45% Dec (-1bp).
  • The terminal holds circa 10bps lower than shortly before Friday’s payrolls/ISM services hit, awaiting tomorrow’s CPI.
  • No Fedspeak today. No spillover from ECB’s Holzmann or Villeroy earlier with Rehn and De Cos still to come.

FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures implied rates at specific meetingsSource: Bloomberg