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Fed Rates See Modest Further Dip On Weekend Kashkari and Debt Ceiling

STIR
  • Fed Funds implied rates have drifted lower over the weekend with no clear progress in debt talks and dovish commentary by Kashkari’s recent standards.
  • Cumulative changes from current 5.08%: +3.5bp Jun (-0.5bp on Fri close), +4bp Jul (-1bp), -6bp Sep (-1bp), -25bp Nov (-1.5bp), -47bp Dec (-2bp) and -66bp Jan (-2.5bp).
  • Kashkari (’23 voter) yesterday told the WSJ he was open to foregoing a June hike but would object to declaring an indefinite pause. It builds on Chair Powell on Friday not offering a hawkish steer as some had expected after Logan (’23) tilted in favour of a June hike.
  • Ahead, Bullard (non-voter) with a fireside chat 0830ET, which considering the above could see any moderately less hawkish points picked up upon. He’s followed by Bostic & Barkin (both ’24) discuss technology enabled disruption and Daly (’24) in a fireside chat at a NABE/BdF symposium both at 1105ET.


Source: Bloomberg

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