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FI Underperformance Holds Post-BoC, USDCAD Shifts Nearer To Support

CANADA
  • With the BoC presser wrapped up, 2Y GoC yields sit 5.3bps higher than before the 0945ET decision (US Tsys +2bps over the same period).
  • 3-mth CORRA futures see a larger move, with late 2024/early 2025 contract implied yields 6.5-7bps higher, pushing CORH4/Z4 to 84bps of cuts from 88bp prior. Implied yields are still down heavily from last week – see table.
  • USDCAD has set recently set a new session low of 1.351 but it owes the move to broader USD weakness, with CAD still underperforming high beta peers and mid-pack across broader G10 FX.
  • Support seen at 1.3494 (50-day EMA) after which lies 1.3441 (Feb 22 low).

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