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Floden: "I consider the arguments..........>

RIKSBANK
RIKSBANK: Floden: "I consider the arguments against such a monetary policy to be
strong. Resource utilisation is still fairly high. Although we expect a slowdown
in economic activity, we do not see a recession ahead. In addition, we must ask
what we would achieve by cutting the policy rate. When the policy rate is
already -0.25 per cent, the impact on lending rates would probably be limited.
The dominant effect would instead be a weakening of the exchange rate. However,
the krona is already weak. A further depreciation of the krona would lead to
unnecessary volatility and uncertainty over the development of the exchange rate
and, ultimately, the entire Swedish economy. Such a depreciation of the krona
would therefore hardly support economic activity. Neither would it be a
sustainable or desirable way of living up to the inflation target. I would
consider cutting the repo rate from today's level only if the exchange rate
starts to become overvalued at the same time as the inflation development
becomes too weak."

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