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Focus Turns to Currency and Europe-based ETF Trade

BRAZIL
  • There is historical precedent for market volatility during periods of political unrest. In May 2017, as Temer’s administration came under pressure from corruption allegations, the BRL slipped close to 9% against the USD over 48 hours, while the Ibovespa dropped over 10%.
  • Back then, implied vols started from a lower base, with USDBRL implied vols holding between 12 – 13 points ahead of the wave of political uncertainty, before shooting higher to touch 27 points.
  • The Luxembourg-traded Lyxor Brazil ETF will be among the first to open in Europe, starting trade at 0800GMT. The US-traded iShares MSCI Brazil ETF follows later today, with pre-market trade at 1200GMT/0700ET.

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