Free Trial

Following Broader USD Trends In Holiday Affected Markets

CNH

USD/CNH found selling interest above 7.1500 yesterday/overnight. We dipped towards 7.0900 but found support, amid broad USD weakness. The pair last at 7.1030. A reminder that China onshore markets are closed all this week for the golden week celebrations. Hong Kong markets are also closed today.

  • As we noted last week, USD/CNH may stick to recent ranges following last week's intervention warning.
  • After touching fresh YTD highs (above 9%), the 1 month implied vol is lower at 8.50%. The 1 month risk reversal is also no longer trending higher. The pair was last back at +1.2325.
  • The China Golden Dragon index rose 0.62% overnight, underperforming the broader equity bounce. The index remains just under 6230, with dips sub 6000 this year generally support.
  • There is more optimism around the property market outlook, as measures continue to be unveiled to boost the sector, see this link for more details. We are yet to see this feed into a meaningful bounce in key commodities like iron ore though.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.