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Following the better than expected UK PMI.......>

BOE
BOE: Following the better than expected UK PMI data, MNI PINCH shows that the
market is now pricing a 68% chance of a cut at next week's meeting - down from
77% prior to the release.
- While we would not rule out a cut, if the Bank's own Decision Maker Panel and
Agents' Surveys both show the same degree of post-election bounce, there may not
be enough justification in the data for some members of the MPC to vote for a
cut at this point. Tenreyro said that she wanted to see further weakness in the
data to vote for a cut, and this may not be enough for any of the internal
members of the MPC to shift their view to looking for a cut. We still expect
Saunders and Haskel to continue to vote for a cut with Vlieghe likely to join
them.

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