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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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G10 Markets
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Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
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Emerging Markets
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
FOMC Day, Qtrly Refunding and Solid Data Docket
- Cash Tsys sitting modestly richer on the day after little reaction to a much anticipated EZ CPI that saw a sizeable miss at a headline level but one tenth beat for core. Various important releases today include ADP, ISM mfg and JOLTS, but initial market reaction will firmly be with the FOMC in mind. Whilst highly unlikely to impact today’s decision, they could help further shape expectations on the likelihood of a second 25bp hike in March.
- Treasury yields approach the meeting with benchmarks broadly in the middle of last month’s range: 2YY -0.2bps, 5YY -1.4bps at 3.603%, 10YY -2.0bps at 3.486% and 30YY -2.1bps at 3.612%.
- TYH3 trades 8+ ticks higher at 114-25, off a session high of 114-30 that forms initial resistance. Above that sits 115-13 (Jan 25 high) whilst support is at 114-05+ (Jan 30 low) with a sterner test at the 50-day EMA of 114-00+.
- FOMC: Announcement 1400ET, press conference 1430ET.
- Data: ADP Jan (0815ET), final US PMI Jan (0945ET), ISM mfg Jan (1000ET), JOLTS Dec (1000ET), Construction spending Dec (1000ET) plus weekly MBA mortgage data (0700ET).
- Treasury Quarterly Refunding report – 0830ET. Preview here.
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $36B 17W bill auction – 1130ET
- Earnings: A lighter day for reporting before it picks up again tomorrow including Apple, Alphabet and Amazon.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.