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FOMC Excerpt: Futher Policy Firming Likely Warranted-Text>

WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are excerpts from the Federal Open 
Market Committee minutes of the March 20-21 meeting, published 
Wednesday:
     With regard to the medium-term outlook for monetary policy, all 
participants saw some further firming of the stance of monetary policy 
as likely to be warranted. Almost all participants agreed that it 
remained appropriate to follow a gradual approach to raising the target 
range for the federal funds rate. Several participants commented that 
this gradual approach was most likely to be conducive to maintaining 
strong labor market conditions and returning inflation to 2 percent on a 
sustained basis without resulting in conditions that would eventually 
require an abrupt policy tightening. A number of participants indicated 
that the stronger outlook for economic activity, along with their 
increased confidence that inflation would return to 2 percent over the 
medium term, implied that the appropriate path for the federal funds 
rate over the next few years would likely be slightly steeper than they 
had previously expected. Participants agreed that the longer-run normal 
federal funds rate was likely lower than in the past, in part because of 
secular forces that had put downward pressure on real interest rates. 
Several participants expressed the judgment that it would likely become 
appropriate at some point for the Committee to set the federal funds 
rate above its longerrun normal value for a time. Some participants 
suggested that, at some point, it might become necessary to revise 
statement language to acknowledge that, in pursuit of the Committees 
statutory mandate and consistent with the median of participants policy 
rate projections in the SEP, monetary policy eventually would likely 
gradually move from an accommodative stance to being a neutral or 
restraining factor for economic activity. However, participants 
expressed a range of views on the amount of policy tightening that would 
likely be required over the medium term to achieve the Committees 
goals. Participants agreed that the actual path of the federal funds 
rate would depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data. 
     ** MNI Washington Bureau: (202)371-2121 ** 
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$,MT$$$$]

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