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France Flash CPI In-Line, Whilst HICP Touch Higher

FRANCE DATA

The latest set of national April flash inflation prints from France saw CPI figures come in line with consensus, whilst HICP came in slightly higher than expected.

  • HICP came in at +2.4% Y/Y (vs +2.2% consensus, +2.4% prior) and +0.6% M/M (vs +0.5% M/M consensus, +0.2% M/M prior).
  • CPI came in at +2.2% Y/Y (vs +2.2% Y/Y, +2.3% Y/Y prior) and +0.5% M/M (vs +0.5% M/M consensus, +0.2% M/M prior).
  • Looking at CPI (we don't get the breakdown of HICP until later):
    • The stall in headline compared to March was primarily driven by Services which rose +1.0% M/M (vs +0.0% M/M prior), although on a Y/Y basis it is estimated to have slowed down from +3.2% Y/Y in March to +3.0% Y/Y in April. Note that services make up 51.6% of the national CPI index.
    • Non-energy industrial goods fell 0.1% Y/Y (vs +0.1% Y/Y prior) for the first time since July 2021.
    • Meanwhile, food prices disinflated to +1.2% Y/Y (vs +1.7% Y/Y prior), as although fresh food prices fell albeit at a lower rate of -0.7% Y/Y (vs -3.9% M/M prior).
    • Tobacco price inflation also fell to the lowest March 2023 printing +9.0% Y/Y (vs +10.7% Y/Y prior).
    • In contrast, energy prices increased slightly to +3.8% Y/Y (vs +3.4% Y/Y prior)


MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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