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French Consumer Sentiment Boost as Inflation Expectations Stabilise

FRANCE DATA
MNI (London)

FRANCE OCT CONSUMER SENTIMENT 82; SEP 79

  • French consumer confidence surprised to the upside in October, improving by three points to 82 instead of seeing an expected two-point slide to a fresh record low. The indicator remains pessimistic and below the long-run average of 100.
  • Households' expected financial conditions improved in October alongside a marked rebound in future standard of living conditions in France. Unemployment concerns remained stable following a sharp increase in September and inflation expectations also stabilised, despite remaining high.
  • This combination of improvements is an early indication that the French consumer likely sees the economy rebounding after the anticipated European winter recession plagued by high energy prices.
  • On Friday French GDP is expected to weaken to +0.1% q/q in the Q3 flash estimate (vs +0.5% q/q in Q2), whilst flash HICP data sees another uptick in price growth to +6.5% y/y.

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