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Further Moderation In Core Goods Ex Used Cars

US DATA
  • Core goods deflation accelerated to -0.33% M/M from -0.05% M/M.
  • The drag from used vehicles was at the low end of expectations seen beforehand, at -1.34% M/M vs analysts averaging circa -2% (ranging from -1.3% to -3.2%) after -0.45% M/M. There should be further declines in the pipeline.
  • However, more notable from the goods side was core goods ex used vehicles printing -0.18% M/M after two 0.00% M/M readings. It's technically its first month of deflation since Feb’21 as it continues to reflect the significant moderation in supply chain pressures.
  • One driver for the latest tick lower is apparel prices -0.03% M/M after 0.31% M/M, its first (very small) decline since Oct’22.

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