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Further Sizeable Re-Pricing In Of Hikes

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes have seen a further boost following Biden’s speech on Russian sanctions, leaving a sizeable re-pricing in of rate hikes for the day.
  • Mar 16 pricing now sits at 36bps (+6bps on the day), there is now 94bps priced over the next three meetings (+11bps) and 160bps for Dec 14 (+13bps). In the case of Jun and Dec pricing, these are back to the levels from mid-last week before a further flare up in geopolitical tensions weighed on potential rate hike expectations.
  • Atlanta Fed’s Bostic is still to take part in a moderated Q&A at 1530ET before SF Fed’s Daly speaks tomorrow at 1530ET.

Fed Funds futures pricing for specific meetings: March (yellow), June (white) and Dec (green)Source: Bloomberg

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