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Further Support For USDCAD Bulls

CANADA
  • USDCAD resumes pushing session highs long after Powell’s hawkish speech at 1.3014 (+0.7%).
  • It's despite CAD outperforming high beta majors, with increases in the pair limited by front end GoCs largely keeping pace with the sell-off in Tsys.
  • It’s still well within the week’s range though, having dropped more than 1% from Tuesday’s high of 1.3063 prior to Powell, most recently with a hit from softer core PCE/spending just beforehand.
  • Nevertheless a hawkish Fed has helped the bull mode condition from MA studies remain in place, with support at the 50-day EMA of 1.2887 and with resistance now eyed at that short-term trend high of 1.3063, clearance of which could re-open the 1.31 handle.

USDCAD and 2Y Goc-Tsy yield differential (blue)Source: Bloomberg

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