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Futures Downtick, US Tsys Weaker, No Progress on Debt Ceiling Deal

JGBS

During post-Tokyo trading, JGBs futures experienced a slight decline, closing -6 compared to settlement levels. This decrease followed a 4-11bp cheapening in cash US tsys, resulting in a steeper yield curve. The pressure on US tsys persisted until the end of the trading day due to the lack of progress in resolving the US debt impasse on Wednesday.

  • The release of the minutes from the May FOMC meeting revealed a division among officials regarding their support for further interest rate hikes, emphasising the importance of maintaining flexibility.
  • Recent statements from Fed Bostic emphasised the Fed's intention to avoid committing to specific rate adjustments and instead rely on data to guide their decision-making process. Earlier during the NY session, Fed Waller expressed his inclination towards a rate hike in June, citing limited progress in curbing inflation.
  • Fitch has placed the US on negative ratings watch, as the deadline for an increase in the debt-ceiling approaches (June 1) and they see US governance as weaker than other AAA rated nations.
  • The local economic calendar sees Weekly Security Investment Flow data slated ahead of Tokyo CPI tomorrow.
  • The MoF plans to sell Y700bn of 40-year JGBs today. Sale of 40-year debt is expected to go smoothly supported by life insurers’ plans to increase holdings of domestic bonds this fiscal year. The yield on the 40-year JGB rose 1.5bp to 1.435% yesterday.

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