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Futures moved sharply lower in afternoon.......>

JGBS
JGBS: Futures moved sharply lower in afternoon trade (albeit in a tight range),
on the back of the broader risk-on flows stemming from the SCMP headline re: the
top Chinese trade envoy visiting the U.S, with the lead contract briefly erasing
all of the overnight & early session gains, last 5 ticks lower. The Nikkei 225
unwound a chunk of its losses, but still traded 2.0% weaker on the day.
- Cash trade saw the longer end continue to outperform, with 20+-Year yields
holding lower, even as shorter dated tenors turned positive on the day.
- This was a result of the latest 30-Year JGB auction, which saw the cover ratio
hold up & the price tail hold relatively steady despite 20-Year paper looking a
little more attractive than based on ASW & z-spread perspectives, 20-Year paper
also offers a more attractive carry & roll proposition. The recent domestic
lifer/pension fund asset allocation plans indicated a willingness to buy 30-Year
JGBs if yields reach 1%. The sector's yields have become competitive with French
10-Year OATs on an FX hedged basis for Japanese investors, although the huge
funds have indicated a willingness to pursue larger uncovered bond holdings.
- Focus now moves to tomorrow's Japanese GDP release.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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