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Futures Unchanged At Lunch After Gov & Dep Gov Comments At BoJ-IMES Conference

JGBS

At the Tokyo lunch break, JGB futures are unchanged compared to the settlement levels after comments from BoJ Governor Ueda and Deputy Governor Uchida at the BoJ-IMES Conference.

  • Ueda said the central bank will move cautiously to anchor inflation expectations at 2%, adding that some challenges are uniquely difficult for the BoJ (eg) assessing natural interest rates, given the prolonged period of near-zero short-term interest rates over the past three decades.
  • Meanwhile, Uchida said the end of the battle with deflation is in sight, while the big challenge ahead is anchoring of inflation expectations at 2%. He added that Japan could resolve the original causes of deflation as labour market conditions have changed structurally and irreversibly.
  • Leading & Coincident Indices are due later.
  • A bear trend in JGB futures persists, erasing the corrective bounce in recent weeks, according to MNI's technicals team. The contract for now is trading just above key support and bear trigger at 143.44, the Nov 1 low. A stronger reversal higher is required to signal the end of the recent downward phase. Key resistance is at 145.95, the Mar 28 high. A break would signal scope for a climb towards the bull trigger at 147.74, the mid-January high.
  • Cash JGBs are little changed, with yield movements bounded by +/- 0.5bp. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.5bp higher at 1.011%, its YTD high.
  • Swaps are mostly slightly richer apart from the 20-year, which is 2bps cheaper. Swap spreads are mixed.
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At the Tokyo lunch break, JGB futures are unchanged compared to the settlement levels after comments from BoJ Governor Ueda and Deputy Governor Uchida at the BoJ-IMES Conference.

  • Ueda said the central bank will move cautiously to anchor inflation expectations at 2%, adding that some challenges are uniquely difficult for the BoJ (eg) assessing natural interest rates, given the prolonged period of near-zero short-term interest rates over the past three decades.
  • Meanwhile, Uchida said the end of the battle with deflation is in sight, while the big challenge ahead is anchoring of inflation expectations at 2%. He added that Japan could resolve the original causes of deflation as labour market conditions have changed structurally and irreversibly.
  • Leading & Coincident Indices are due later.
  • A bear trend in JGB futures persists, erasing the corrective bounce in recent weeks, according to MNI's technicals team. The contract for now is trading just above key support and bear trigger at 143.44, the Nov 1 low. A stronger reversal higher is required to signal the end of the recent downward phase. Key resistance is at 145.95, the Mar 28 high. A break would signal scope for a climb towards the bull trigger at 147.74, the mid-January high.
  • Cash JGBs are little changed, with yield movements bounded by +/- 0.5bp. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.5bp higher at 1.011%, its YTD high.
  • Swaps are mostly slightly richer apart from the 20-year, which is 2bps cheaper. Swap spreads are mixed.