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OPTIONS: FX Hedging Volumes Surge Despite More Muted Spot

OPTIONS

Despite the calmer spot currency markets this morning, the FX hedging market is once again very busy - with recent breakouts in USD/CNY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD clearly helping drive demand for derivatives.

  • USD/CNY options volumes are over double the average for this time of day, with markets showing particular interest in 7.33 and 7.45 calls - however call strikes as high as 7.5500 - 7.5525 are also seeing solid interest, even with a tight three-month expiry.
  • We noted earlier today the solid interest in EUR/USD puts with strikes at or below parity - and that's extending into the NY crossover today over €2bln notional traded for structures that gain on a break below parity (this tally is up to €4.5bln since the start of the year) and will be a key driver on the spike in options-implied odds for the pair to break 1.00 before the end of Q1.
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Despite the calmer spot currency markets this morning, the FX hedging market is once again very busy - with recent breakouts in USD/CNY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD clearly helping drive demand for derivatives.

  • USD/CNY options volumes are over double the average for this time of day, with markets showing particular interest in 7.33 and 7.45 calls - however call strikes as high as 7.5500 - 7.5525 are also seeing solid interest, even with a tight three-month expiry.
  • We noted earlier today the solid interest in EUR/USD puts with strikes at or below parity - and that's extending into the NY crossover today over €2bln notional traded for structures that gain on a break below parity (this tally is up to €4.5bln since the start of the year) and will be a key driver on the spike in options-implied odds for the pair to break 1.00 before the end of Q1.