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Gas End of Day Gas Summary: TTF Removes Earlier Gains


TTF front month has been trading between €37.10-42.66/MWh in another volatile session today as markets are awaiting updates on possible strike action at Australian LNG facilities.

  • TTF SEP 23 down -1.6% at 38.2€/MWh
  • TTF WIN 23 down -0.2% at 53.29€/MWh
  • TTF SUM 24 up 0.2% at 54€/MWh
  • Australian strike update: Woodside Energy workers have already voted for a range of industrial action options and have now the possibility to start strike action within 30 days – until 10 September – with a seven days’ notice. Woodside held an all-day meeting with the union on Tuesday. The Offshore Alliance said Woodside was “well off the pace on key bargaining issues, including job security and remuneration,” following the meeting. The next mediation is scheduled for next Wednesday, but sources close to the union claimed the union could announce strike action as early as this Thursday. Chevron is currently preparing to bypass unions to put a pay offer to a direct vote of its Gorgon and Wheatstone workforce. Around 500 workers have started voting on a range of industrial action options. The ballot will finish next week. After the vote, the union can decide whether to go ahead with any action which must also take place within 30 days. Chevron is delaying plans to sell some LNG spot market cargoes from its Gorgon LNG facility. Chevron and the union held a meeting on Monday.
  • LNG sendout to Europe increased slightly back up to 299mcm/d on 14 August but imports to NW Europe are still down at 149mcm/d compared to nearly 200mcm/d seen this time last year.
  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are nominated today at 323.8mcm/d and in line with levels seen last week ahead of an expected drop due to planned maintenance from this weekend.
  • Total storage is up to 89.75% full on a 14 Aug according to GIE data compared to the five year average for this time of year of 75.8% with steady injection rates just below normal in recent days.
  • Investments funds’ net ICE TTF position became long for the 1st time since April-22 last week according to ICIS.
  • Norwegian hydropower reserves increased by 3.8 percentage points on the week to 77.6% of capacity, or 67.77TWh, as of 15 August, widening the surplus above the seasonal norm to the highest so far this year.
  • Germany expects high natural gas prices to continue until at least 2027, according to a report approved by the German Cabinet on 16 August.
  • The JKM-TTF front month spread is currently around 0.4$/mmbtu with the US netback to Europe for October at 11.11$/mmbtu and just below the netback to Aisa at 11.8$/mmbtu.
  • JKM-TTF Sep 23 up 0$/mmbtu at 0.46$/mmbtu

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