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German & Swiss December Retail Sales Drag on Q4 Growth

EUROPEAN DATA
MNI (London)

SWISS DEC RETAIL SALES -1.7% M/M, -2.8% Y/Y

GERMANY DEC RETAIL SALES -5.3% M/M (FCST -0.2%); -6.4% Y/Y

  • German retail sales contracted sharply in December, falling by 5.3% m/m, outpacing expectations of a modest 0.2% decline.
  • This was largely evident in the Q4 flash GDP print, whereby the fall in private consumption largely accounted for weaker Q4 economic performance. Robust consumption had elevated growth through the first three quarters.
  • Swiss retail trade also fell in December, down 1.7% m/m and 2.8% y/y. A substantial decline in food sales was noted in the release.
  • Across both economies, high inflation, led by elevated energy and food prices is dampening demand, feeding into weak Q4 growth.

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