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GfK Consumer Confidence at Fresh Low as Gas Supply Concerns Mount

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY AUG GFK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE -30.6 (FCST -28.9); JUL -27.7r

  • Another worse-than-expected historic low for the German GfK consumer sentiment index in August. The index began in 1991.
  • Economic and income expectations were again the key downwards drivers, however, a softer decline was seen in propensity to buy.
  • Despite inflation slowing by 0.3pp to +7.6% y/y in June, the accelerated costs of living and looming recessionary fears see no improvement in consumer outlooks for the time being.
  • The deterioration in outlooks has been exacerbated by persistent supply chain disruptions worsened by the Ukraine war, as well as consumer concerns regarding security of gas supplies adding significant downwards pressure.

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