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Global Trade in LNG Increasing On US Supply Growth

LNG

The global trade of LNG is expanding driven by new supply projects in US and Qatar with benchmark spot prices for gas, LNG and alternate fuels playing a key role in defining cargo flows according to Bloomberg.

  • European buying of limited flexible LNG supply is expected to lower LNG demand growth in China and emerging Asia at least until the mid-2020s with price-sensitive buyers outbid. TTF will need to stay above JKM to continue attracting spot supplies to Europe.
  • Global LNG demand growth is likely to gain pace after the mid-2020s as new supply projects come online and will support demand from opportunistic buyers due to lower spot prices.
  • Sanctions pose a threat to Russian LNG supply growth and delaying output from Arctic LNG 2 while ageing plants across the Pacific Basin and Atlantic Basin will limit total supply growth until 2026.
  • A spot LNG cargo destination depends not just on price arbitrage, but also on strategic and portfolio considerations of many LNG players.


Source: Bloomberg

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