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Goldman Sachs note that "there have been...>

STERLING
STERLING: Goldman Sachs note that "there have been three market narratives over
the last couple of weeks that have weighed on Sterling. First, progress on EU-UK
negotiations ahead of the July 1 deadline to extend the transition period has
been minimal. The two sides have traded public barbs and the UK's proposed text
seems more ambitious than the government's characterization and what EU
negotiators have been prepared to accept. Second, the market has been exploring
the potential for negative policy rates in the UK, and recent BoE comments have
been slightly more nuanced than before, with policymakers leaving the option on
the table for the future. Third, while the UK instituted later and less
stringent lockdowns than many of its neighbors, it is now also lagging behind
much of Europe in the reopening process. Taken together, we see a risk of
additional Sterling-negative headlines in the weeks ahead. However, we do not
see any of these issues as likely sources of major GBP depreciation. Our
approach over last couple of years has been to recommend fading EUR/GBP moves
above 0.90, and that seems a reasonable approach today too; we recommend
covering any GBP shorts."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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