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Goldman Sachs notes that "as risk......>

MEXICAN PESO
MEXICAN PESO: Goldman Sachs notes that "as risk sentiment wobbled last week,
high-"beta" EM currencies did, too, and the Peso - one of the highest-"beta"
currencies in EM - was no exception. As a result of this pullback, we closed our
recommendation to be long MXN versus ILS, after previously extending targets and
tightening stops, for a potential profit of 7.5% (including carry). While the
Peso has appreciated significantly versus the Dollar since late March and
remains a heavily positioned "consensus long" among EM FX investors, we think
there is still significant further upside. In particular, with an increasingly
hard to find combination of high real carry and undervaluation among EM
currencies, macro fundamentals are still currency-supportive in Mexico,
notwithstanding still high case counts of confirmed coronavirus. Most
importantly, any broad Dollar weakness is likely to include Peso strength, and
with USD/MXN still nearly 20% above mid-February levels of around 19, the
risk-reward of short USD/MXN positions appears to be increasingly attractive,
and we will be looking to re-engage again with this view."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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