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Gov't Meets To Sign Off On Treasury Forecasts Ahead Of 2024 Budget
Reuters reporting that the Italian cabinet meets at 1630CET (1030ET, 1530BST) to sign off on the Treasury's latest economic forecasts. This comes as PM Giorgia Meloni and her team look to put together a budget for 2024 that achieves two aims in both enacting tax cuts promised in her party's 2022 election manifesto while avoiding rattling financial market confidence amid sclerotic growth, a sizeable budget deficit, and recent memories of the windfall tax on banks that resulted in a backlash andeventual alterationsto the legislation.
- Reuters: "This year's growth forecast will be trimmed to around 0.8% from a 1.0% projection made in April, while in 2024 gross domestic product is seen rising 1.0% under an unchanged policy scenario, down from a previous 1.5%, [...] However, the final growth target for next year will be 1.2% or 1.3%, [...] thanks to tax cuts for low and middle-income earners and other expansionary measures Meloni plans to include in the budget bill."
- Reuters: "Meloni's room for manoeuvre has been reduced by costly green building incentives, which were introduced before she took office last year but are still weighing on public accounts."
- Meloni faces a difficult political environment as well as fiscal outlook. Meloni's Brothers of Italy (FdI) party' relations with her coalition allies; the populist League and the centre-right Forza Italia, remain strained. Large-scale immigration across the Mediterranean is also putting pressure on both gov't finances (despite EU aid), public sentiment towards the gov't as a whole, and relations with other EU member states.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.