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Greenback Weakness Extends, Yuan Recovery Builds Momentum

LATAM
  • The US Dollar saw another wave of weakness in early European hours, with the price action reminiscent of the greenback dip after the US equity open on Tuesday.
  • Chinese Yuan strength has been notable, with USDCNH 2% below the day’s highs. The price action will raise suspicion of intervention via state-run banks as we've seen in recent weeks - particularly after the pair hit record highs this week and the Chinese authorities conducted a survey of banks to gauge both positioning and market sentiment toward the currency. Redback strength has filtered through to the likes of AUD and NZD with the latter rising to a one-month high against the USD.
  • EURUSD topside momentum has also gained traction, following the pair breaking above the notable 2022 channel resistance, now back above parity for the first time since mid-September. The broad-based USD weakness has filtered through to EM currencies with HUF and ZAR particular beneficiaries in European trade.
  • In LatAm, Brazilian data takes focus with formal job creation and federal debt data. After the close, we have a Copom decision where all surveyed analysts are expecting the Selic rate to remain unchanged at 13.75%.

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