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BOE: Greene sounds as though quarterly cuts remain her base case for now

BOE

We think there are few surprises in Greene's Annual Report. We would interpret the following as being consistent with her supporting a quarterly cut path in the short-term:

  • "It’s less likely inflation persistence will fade on its own accord, and more likely monetary policy will need to remain restrictive in order to either generate a negative output gap to bring inflation to target sustainably or to lean against structural shifts in the economy. While the disinflationary trend is broadly intact, I believe it is appropriate to maintain a cautious and gradual approach to removing monetary restrictiveness."
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We think there are few surprises in Greene's Annual Report. We would interpret the following as being consistent with her supporting a quarterly cut path in the short-term:

  • "It’s less likely inflation persistence will fade on its own accord, and more likely monetary policy will need to remain restrictive in order to either generate a negative output gap to bring inflation to target sustainably or to lean against structural shifts in the economy. While the disinflationary trend is broadly intact, I believe it is appropriate to maintain a cautious and gradual approach to removing monetary restrictiveness."