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Takes Out 20-, 50-Day EMAs


Weak Global PMIs


Pierces 50-Day EMA


Eurodollar/SOFR, Tsy Option Roundup

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The latest opinion poll from INSA for Germany's Bild newspaper shows the environmentalist Greens slipping to 18% support, the lowest level for the party since mid-March 2021.

  • INSA/BILD: CDU/CSU: 29,5% (+1.5), Green: 18% (-1), SPD: 16% (-1), FDP: 13% (+1), AfD: 11% (=), DIE LINKE: 7,5% (+0.5). Fieldwork: 25-28 June, chgs w 21-25 June. 2,060 respondents.
  • After a significant decline in support around April, when Armin Laschet was announced as chancellor candidate for the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), the party has recorded a sharp recovery. This has been mirrored in the opposite direction by the Greens, which have recorded a concurrent decline in support. This has hit both the party, and approval ratings for its chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock, who now trails Laschet and sometimes Social Democrat chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz in 'preferred chancellor' opinion polls.
  • A sharp reduction in COVID-19 cases and the increasing prospect of a reduction in social restrictions are seen as a key factor behind the return in support for the governing CDU, which also received a boost in its unexpectedly good result in the state of Saxony-Anhalt in regional elections early-June.
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