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Grinding Out Modest Gains

GILT SUMMARY

Following an uneven start, gilts have traded firmer through the session while equities have gradually eked out gains through the day.

  • Gilts trade within 1bp below yesterday's close with the curve close to flat overall. Last yields: 2-year 0.0624%, 5-year 0.3182%, 10-year 0.7153%, 30-year 1.2338%.
  • The Jun-21 gilt future trades at 128.82, near the middle of the day's range (L: 128.60 / H: 128.95).
  • The DMO earlier sold GBP800mn of the 0.125% Aug-31 linker. A further GBP78.975mn was taken up through the PAOF.
  • The BoE purchased GBP1.48bn of medium-dated gilts with offer-to-cover of 3.57x.
  • Looking ahead, tomorrows sees the release of the RICS House Price Balance data for February. The main focus in Europe will be the ECB meeting, which could provide a potential trigger for price action in EGBs and possible spillovers to Gilts. Although the ECB is not expected to adjust its monetary policy, any commentary around the recent bond sell-off and how the central bank may respond, could be market moving.

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