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GS Push USDCAD Forecasts Higher

CANADA
Homepagemarkets-real-timeBulletMarketsForeign Exchange BulletsGoldman Sachs Market News

Goldman Sachs late last week revised their USDCAD forecasts from 1.34, 1.32 and 1.30 in three-, six- and 12-months to 1.40, 1.38 and 1.36.

  • Last Tuesday’s events appear a big driver: “Core inflation is now below 2% on a 3-month annualized basis. Barring any surprises in the April inflation data, a June cut looks very likely.”
  • “Governor Macklem’s conversation with Fed Chair Powell this week put into sharp relief the difference between the economic backdrops in Canada and the US.”
  • “BoC and Fed policy can diverge, and we think it is likely they will, given that the backdrop calls for diverging policy paths.”
  • “This also takes into account our view that USD depreciation has been delayed”, noting separately that “long Dollar calls still represent good hedges against geopolitical and inflation risks.”
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Goldman Sachs late last week revised their USDCAD forecasts from 1.34, 1.32 and 1.30 in three-, six- and 12-months to 1.40, 1.38 and 1.36.

  • Last Tuesday’s events appear a big driver: “Core inflation is now below 2% on a 3-month annualized basis. Barring any surprises in the April inflation data, a June cut looks very likely.”
  • “Governor Macklem’s conversation with Fed Chair Powell this week put into sharp relief the difference between the economic backdrops in Canada and the US.”
  • “BoC and Fed policy can diverge, and we think it is likely they will, given that the backdrop calls for diverging policy paths.”
  • “This also takes into account our view that USD depreciation has been delayed”, noting separately that “long Dollar calls still represent good hedges against geopolitical and inflation risks.”