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‌‌(H3)‌‌ Bear Cycle Still In Play

  • RES 4: 116-00 High Feb 2
  • RES 3: 115-22+ High Feb 3
  • RES 2: 114-14 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 114-03 50-day EMA
  • PRICE: 113-10 @ 16:20 GMT Feb 8
  • SUP 1: 113-05+ Feb 7 Low
  • SUP 2: 112-29 76.4% retracement of the Dec 30 - Jan 19 bull run
  • SUP 3: 112-18+ Low Jan 5
  • SUP 4: 112-11+ Trendline support drawn from the Oct 21 low

A sharp pullback in Treasury futures last Friday and the continuation lower this week, highlights a bearish cycle and signals scope for an extension of the move down. The contract has breached 114-05+, the Jan 30 low and a short-term bear trigger. Note that price has also breached the 50-day EMA. This opens 112-29 next - a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance is seen at 114-14, the 20-day EMA.

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