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Haley Within Touch But Trump Retains Huge Polling Lead In GOP Primary

US

A new survey from the American Research Group has found that former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley remains in touching distance of former President Donald Trump in the New Hampshire primary.

  • According to the poll, Haley sits 4% behind Trump - within the traditional polling margin of error.
  • New Hampshire, the second state to cast their vote in the Republican presidential nomination contest, is widely seen as the only credible track for any candidate to pose a challenge to Trump.
  • Despite the relatively strong polling in New Hampshire, Trump continues to retain an overwhelming lead to the GOP nomination. According to data from Smarkets, Trump has an implied probability of close to 80% of winning.

Figure 1: New Hampshire Republican Primary Preference

Source: American Research Group

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