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Harris Continues To Close Gap In Swing States

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A Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey has found Vice President Kamala Harris “leading or tied with Republican Donald Trump in each of the seven states most likely to decide the race.”

  • In Wisconsin, Harris holds a +8 advantage, 52% to Trump’s 44%. In Pennsylvania, Harris has a +4 lead, 51% to 47%. In Nevada, Harris leads 49% to 45%. In Michigan, Harris is up 49% to 46%. In North Carolina and Georgia, Harris holds identical +2 leads, 49% to 47%. And in Arizona, Harris and Trump are tied at 48%
  • Politico notes: “The turnaround is perhaps most striking in North Carolina, where Dems have struggled for presidential success for years and Trump led by 10 points back in April.”
  • Morning Consult writes: “The poll shows that swing-state voters’ perceptions of the economy haven’t dramatically improved since Harris took over the top of the ticket. A majority of respondents still say they were better off under Trump. But voters appear less likely to hold Harris responsible for the economic insecurities that plagued Biden.”

Figure 1: Voting Intention in Battleground States

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A Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey has found Vice President Kamala Harris “leading or tied with Republican Donald Trump in each of the seven states most likely to decide the race.”

  • In Wisconsin, Harris holds a +8 advantage, 52% to Trump’s 44%. In Pennsylvania, Harris has a +4 lead, 51% to 47%. In Nevada, Harris leads 49% to 45%. In Michigan, Harris is up 49% to 46%. In North Carolina and Georgia, Harris holds identical +2 leads, 49% to 47%. And in Arizona, Harris and Trump are tied at 48%
  • Politico notes: “The turnaround is perhaps most striking in North Carolina, where Dems have struggled for presidential success for years and Trump led by 10 points back in April.”
  • Morning Consult writes: “The poll shows that swing-state voters’ perceptions of the economy haven’t dramatically improved since Harris took over the top of the ticket. A majority of respondents still say they were better off under Trump. But voters appear less likely to hold Harris responsible for the economic insecurities that plagued Biden.”

Figure 1: Voting Intention in Battleground States

Keep reading...Show less