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Free AccessHarris Continues To Close Gap In Swing States
A Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey has found Vice President Kamala Harris “leading or tied with Republican Donald Trump in each of the seven states most likely to decide the race.”
- In Wisconsin, Harris holds a +8 advantage, 52% to Trump’s 44%. In Pennsylvania, Harris has a +4 lead, 51% to 47%. In Nevada, Harris leads 49% to 45%. In Michigan, Harris is up 49% to 46%. In North Carolina and Georgia, Harris holds identical +2 leads, 49% to 47%. And in Arizona, Harris and Trump are tied at 48%
- Politico notes: “The turnaround is perhaps most striking in North Carolina, where Dems have struggled for presidential success for years and Trump led by 10 points back in April.”
- Morning Consult writes: “The poll shows that swing-state voters’ perceptions of the economy haven’t dramatically improved since Harris took over the top of the ticket. A majority of respondents still say they were better off under Trump. But voters appear less likely to hold Harris responsible for the economic insecurities that plagued Biden.”
Figure 1: Voting Intention in Battleground States
Source: Morning Consult/Bloomberg
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.