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Free AccessHarris Favoured Over Trump After Opening Second Electoral College Path, WaPo
The Washington Post reports that although former President Donald Trump is currently ahead in the electoral college tally, the outlet now considers Vice President Kamala Harris the favourite to win in November because her polling surge has opened a second pathway to winning the presidency.
- In short, Harris has expanded the map from the narrow Rust Belt track that appeared to offer President Biden his primary chance of winning and is competitive in more states that could add up to 270 electoral college votes than Trump.
- Washington Post: "Our modeling shows that Harris has two paths to possible success: the Rust Belt states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and the Sun Belt states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada (she could win in either region and still claim the White House). Meanwhile, Trump’s must win both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt to triumph."
- The Post adds: "As of today, Harris is now only a typically sized polling error away from winning key Sun Belt states. Winning all of Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia would also be enough to put Harris over the top and she is continuing to improve her position in those states."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.