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Harris Poll-RN To Win 190-220 Seats, Well Short Of Majority (2/2)

FRANCE

In an update to our earlier bullet (see 'FRANCE: Harris Poll-RN To Win 190-220 Seats, Well Short Of Majority', 1622BST) the full seat range projections in the Harris Interactive poll carried out 2-3 July are as follows: National Rally and allies: 190-220 seats, New Popular Front: 159-183 seats, Ensemble: 110-135 seats, Les Republicains: 30-50 seats, Others 17-31 seats.

  • The poll also shows that a plurality of voters now believe that no party will win an overall majority in the National Assembly. Which party/alliance do you think will win a majority: No majority: 42%, RN: 35%, NFP: 14%, Ensemble: 6%, Les Republicains: 3%.
  • This compares to a plurality of voters wanting to see an RN majority. Which party/alliance do you want to see a win a majority: RN: 36%, NFP: 26%, Ensemble: 19%, No majority control: 13%, Les Republicains: 7%

Chart 1. Harris Opinion Poll, Seat Projection Range

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In an update to our earlier bullet (see 'FRANCE: Harris Poll-RN To Win 190-220 Seats, Well Short Of Majority', 1622BST) the full seat range projections in the Harris Interactive poll carried out 2-3 July are as follows: National Rally and allies: 190-220 seats, New Popular Front: 159-183 seats, Ensemble: 110-135 seats, Les Republicains: 30-50 seats, Others 17-31 seats.

  • The poll also shows that a plurality of voters now believe that no party will win an overall majority in the National Assembly. Which party/alliance do you think will win a majority: No majority: 42%, RN: 35%, NFP: 14%, Ensemble: 6%, Les Republicains: 3%.
  • This compares to a plurality of voters wanting to see an RN majority. Which party/alliance do you want to see a win a majority: RN: 36%, NFP: 26%, Ensemble: 19%, No majority control: 13%, Les Republicains: 7%

Chart 1. Harris Opinion Poll, Seat Projection Range

Keep reading...Show less