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Have traded within morning ranges

EGB SUMMARY

EGBs have stayed within the morning ranges, as the street gears up for a busy week.

  • We had no 1 tier data, and the speaker front, ECB Lane noted that Exchange rate did matter for inflation forecast. ECB is driven by inflation and hoped that there isn't a disorderly Brexit.
  • German curve is flat and trading back at levels seen during the European open.
  • Peripherals have kept pace and have outperformed Core Bond.
  • Italy and Portugal are best the tightest ar 2.2bps against the German 10yr.
  • Brexit, Fed and unofficial EU/UK talks are at the forefront this week.
  • Looking ahead, focus turns to the 2nd reading vote.
  • UK MPs voting could be as late as 22.00BST on the second reading of the bill.
  • Bund futures are up 0.18 today at 174.14 with 10y Bund yields down -1.0bp at -0.492% and Schatz yields down -0.8bp at -0.708%.
  • BTP futures are up 0.41 today at 145.99 with 10y yields down -3.1bp at 1.006% and 2y yields down -1.8bp at -0.152%.
  • OAT futures are up 0.33 today at 168.06 with 10y yields down -2.1bp at -0.212% and 2y yields down -0.1bp at -0.641%.

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